Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.144862 0.176438 0.210627 0.250104 0.294140 0.341480 0.395947
2025-03-16 0.095436 0.135202 0.182239 0.240742 0.310363 0.389458 0.485008
2025-03-23 0.071216 0.116581 0.174734 0.251727 0.348131 0.462248 0.604960
2025-03-30 0.049584 0.095610 0.159937 0.250579 0.369631 0.515852 0.704273
2025-04-06 0.034711 0.079755 0.148461 0.251093 0.391731 0.569975 0.805399
2025-04-13 0.025335 0.069445 0.142539 0.257498 0.420745 0.632981 0.918824
2025-04-20 0.018855 0.061884 0.139095 0.266290 0.452550 0.699925 1.038464
2025-04-27 0.013768 0.055000 0.135265 0.273513 0.481790 0.763773 1.155167
2025-05-04 0.009006 0.046409 0.126690 0.272041 0.497827 0.809744 1.249054
2025-05-11 0.006195 0.041067 0.122843 0.277295 0.523286 0.868624 1.360602
2025-05-18 0.003675 0.034453 0.115006 0.274790 0.536470 0.910344 1.449577
2025-05-25 0.001575 0.026226 0.101563 0.260787 0.530720 0.924652 1.501182
2025-06-01 0.000805 0.022725 0.098037 0.264385 0.552970 0.979980 1.610809
2025-06-08 0.000230 0.017829 0.089540 0.257619 0.558041 1.010413 1.686595
2025-06-15 0.000109 0.016883 0.091360 0.270880 0.596155 1.089817 1.831573
2025-06-22 0.000012 0.014024 0.086744 0.270715 0.611783 1.136195 1.930921
2025-06-29 NaN 0.011749 0.083033 0.271865 0.629405 1.185654 2.035103
2025-07-06 NaN 0.010480 0.082224 0.278973 0.657295 1.250893 2.162352
2025-07-13 NaN 0.009608 0.082544 0.288453 0.689429 1.322920 2.299937
2025-07-20 NaN 0.008643 0.082136 0.296190 0.718622 1.390822 2.432292
2025-07-27 NaN 0.006963 0.077900 0.294714 0.731263 1.433380 2.528562
2025-08-03 NaN 0.006080 0.076771 0.300295 0.756589 1.495785 2.654045
2025-08-10 NaN 0.004740 0.072445 0.297681 0.766770 1.534627 2.745603